To start, I will grade the rest of my Divisional Series Bets. This isn’t going as well as everything else has so far in this blog. As tempting as it is to press things and try to get even, I’m going to stick with my process.

My Championship Series predictions were:

ALCS – Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins – I got both of these wrong.

NLCS – Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Dbacks – Only the Dbacks were correct

Graded Bets:

Arizona Dbacks to win Wild Card Series +165 – Won $165

Toronto Blue Jays to win Wild Card Series +118 – Lost $100

Miami Marlins to win Wild Card Series +165 – Lost $100

Texas Rangers to win Wild Card Series +140 – Won $140

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves +2000 – Lost $100

Toronto Blue Jays win series 2-1 +285 – Lost $100

Braves to Win the National League +150 – Lost $100

Braves to Win the World Series +330 – Lost $100

Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves +1800 – Lost $100

Minnesota Twins to win ALDS +135 – Lost $100

Arizona Diamondbacks to win NLDS +195 – Won $195

Twins to win the American League +370 – Lost $100

Total Profit: Risked $1,200 / Lost $400 = -33%

I have my own method of pricing out the series odds. So I will start with my numbers and then compare them each to the best available market numbers to find the value in the overall series prices for these teams:

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Series Price -117 (-175 Best Available) – No Bet

Arizona Series Price +117 (+170 Best Available) – Arizona Dbacks +170

Series Ends in 4 Games +706 (+590 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 5 Games +301 (+290 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 6 Games +219 (+205 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 7 Games +220 (+205 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Over 4.5 Games -706 (-800 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Under 4.5 Games +706 (+625 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Over 5.5 Games -168 (-175 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Under 5.5 Games +168 (+155 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Over 6.5 Games +220 (+210 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Under 6.5 Games -220 (-245 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies +3.5 -1739 (-3500 Best Available) – No Bet

Dbacks -3.5 +1739 (+1500 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies +2.5 -470 (-650 Best Available) – No Bet

Dbacks -2.5 +470 (+500 Best Available) – Arizona Dbacks -2.5 +500

Phillies +1.5 -214 (-280 Best Available) – No Bet

Dbacks -1.5 +214 (+260 Best Available) – Arizona Dbacks -1.5 +260

Phillies -1.5 +171 (+135 Best Available) – No Bet

Dbacks +1.5 -171 (-141 Best Available) – Arizona Dbacks +1.5 -141

Phillies -2.5 +404 (+310 Best Available) – No Bet

Dbacks +2.5 -404 (-370 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies -3.5 +1335 (+950 Best Available) – No Bet

Dbacks +3.5 -1335 (-1400 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies Win 4-0 +1335 (+1000 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies Win 4-1 +678 (+550 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies Win 4-2 +486 (+525 Best Available) – No Bet, Contradicts others

Phillies Win 4-3 +484 (+900 Best Available) = Phillies Win 4-3 +900

Arizona Wins 4-3 +607 (+700 Best Available) – Dbacks Win 4-3 +700

Arizona Wins 4-2 +599 (+700 Best Available) – Dbacks Win 4-2 +700

Arizona Wins 4-1 +727 (+850 Best Available) – No Bet. Enough

Arizona Wins 4-0 +1739 (+1500 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies Start 3-0 +636 (+425 Best Available) – No Bet

Phillies Start 2-1 +157 (+125 Best Available) – No Bet

Arizona Starts 2-1 +175 (+180 Best Available) – No Bet

Arizona Starts 3-0 +796 (+900 Best Available) – No Bet

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros

Astros Series Price -139 (-140 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers Series Price +139 (+125 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 4 Games +706 (+580 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 5 Games +300 (+270 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 6 Games +218 (+215 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Ends in 7 Games +221 (+205 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Over 4.5 Games -706 (-750 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Under 4.5 Games +706 (+600 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Over 5.5 Games -167 (-180 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Under 5.5 Games +167 (+155 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Over 6.5 Games +221 (+205 Best Available) – No Bet

Series Under 6.5 Games -221 (-235 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros +3.5 -1933 (-2500 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers -3.5 +1933 (+1400 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros +2.5 -522 (-525 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers -2.5 +522 (+400 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros +1.5 -243 (-250 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers -1.5 +243 (+220 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros -1.5 +152 (+145 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers +1.5 -152 (-170 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros -2.5 +369 (+340 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers +2.5 -369 (-425 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros -3.5 +1235 (+1000 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers +3.5 -1235 (-1600 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros Win 4-0 +1235 (+1100 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros Win 4-1 +623 (+600 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros Win 4-2 +443 (+440 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros Win 4-3 +445 (+550 Best Available) – Astros Win 4-3 +445

Rangers Win 4-3 +683 (+550 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers Win 4-2 +667 (+600 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers Win 4-1 +796 (+730 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers Win 4-0 +1933 (+1400 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros Start 3-0 +489 (+460 Best Available) – No Bet

Astros Start 2-1 +143 (+130 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers Start 2-1 +203 (+175 Best Available) – No Bet

Rangers Start 3-0 +1036 (+800 Best Available) – No Bet

Bets:

Arizona Dbacks +1.5 -141

Arizona Dbacks +170

Arizona Dbacks -1.5 +260

Arizona Dbacks -2.5 +500

Dbacks Win 4-2 +700

Dbacks Win 4-3 +700

Phillies Win 4-3 +900

Astros Win 4-3 +445

Game 1 – Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros

Bets:

Yordan Alvarez 3+ Total Bases +220 and 2+ Total Bases +115

Alex Bregman 3+ Total Bases +270 and 2+ Total Bases +135

Marcus Semien + Corey Seager 5+ Total Bases +130

Astros/Rangers Over 8.5 -105

Jared Lemin Avatar

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