Surprisingly all 4 series ended in only 2 games with 2 underdogs coming through which means I was able to profit on my Wild Card bets. However, I did lose a few futures bets. Let’s see where my bets stand right now.
Graded Bets:
Arizona Dbacks to win Wild Card Series +165 – Won $165
Toronto Blue Jays to win Wild Card Series +118 – Lost $100
Miami Marlins to win Wild Card Series +165 – Lost $100
Texas Rangers to win Wild Card Series +140 – Won $140
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves +2000 – Lost $100
Toronto Blue Jays win series 2-1 +285 – Lost $100
Total Profit: Risked $600 / Lost $95 = -16%
I likely wouldn’t have risked a full unit on the 20/1 bet, but oh well, grading things this way can add some more challenges to my regular handicapping. I can always break them out later if I need to.
Division Series Pricing and Analysis:
Baltimore Orioles (-110) vs. Texas Rangers (+100) – No bet in this series
Houston Astros (-150) vs. Minnesota Twins (+135) – This is a bet on the Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (+195) – Dbacks are an easy bet at this price
Atlanta Braves (-175) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (+164) –
Baltimore Orioles – They have two starters that are some of the best in baseball and a decent bullpen, but it isn’t the best. I worry about their ability to score runs consistently.
Texas Rangers – They have slightly worse starting pitching than the Orioles, slightly better offense, and the bullpen is about the same. The price in this series seems correct.
Houston Astros – Great starting pitching, Strong bullpen, and great at scoring runs. This is the best team in the American League.
Minnesota Twins – The best starting pitching left, each starter is better than Houston’s. Their offense is far less, but with their pitching they could make a run. Bet the Twins.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Their starting pitching and long relief is problematic, and their offense isn’t good enough anymore to make up for it.
Arizona Diamondbacks – I like them to beat the Dodgers, but they won’t go any further.
Atlanta Braves – They have the best pitcher, the best bullpen, and the best offense. I think they are the best team left.
Philadelphia Phillies – I don’t think they will make it by the Braves, but I am invested enough in the Braves already so I won’t make any more bets here.
Assuming my picks are all correct the matchups next round would be :
ALDS – Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins – I would take the Twins to win this series
NLDS – Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Dbacks – I would take the Braves in this Series
Pending Bets:
Braves to Win the National League +150
Braves to Win the World Series +330
Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves +1800
New Bets:
Minnesota Twins to win ALDS +135
Arizona Diamondbacks to win NLDS +195
Twins to win the American League +370
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